Home Builder Confidence Hits All-Time Record

Dated: September 23 2020

Views: 27

Home Builder Confidence Hits All-Time Record

Home Builder Confidence Hits All-Time Record | MyKCM

Last week, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported their Housing Market Index (HMI) hit an all-time high in the 35-year history of the series with a score of 83. The index gauges builder perceptions of current single-family home sales and sale expectations for the next six months, as well as the traffic of prospective buyers of new homes.

As the following chart shows, confidence dropped dramatically when stay-in-place orders were originally mandated earlier this year. Since then, it has soared back.Home Builder Confidence Hits All-Time Record | MyKCMLooking at the three-month moving averages for HMI scores, confidence increased in every region of the country:

  • The Northeast increased 11 points to 76
  • The Midwest jumped 9 points to 72
  • The South rose 8 points to 79
  • The West increased 7 points to 85

Confidence Is Validated by the Numbers

This confidence is definitely warranted. According to a recent NAHB report, single-family housing starts increased 4.1% to a 1.02 million annual rate, and single-family permits increased 6% to a 1.04 million unit rate, meaning newly constructed homes are on the rise.

A separate report from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) shows mortgage applications for new home purchases increased by 33.3% compared to a year ago. Joel Kan, Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting at MBA, commented on the numbers:

"The housing market continued to exceed expectations in August, as housing demand for new homes stayed strong and the job market continued to recover…The new home market has maintained its path of recovery throughout the summer, and record-low mortgage rates and households seeking more space will likely continue to drive demand into the fall."

Bottom Line

If you’re thinking about putting your house on the market but are afraid you may not find a home to buy, let’s connect to discuss new construction opportunities in our area.

Blog author image

Alex Ortiz

I started my real estate journey in 2001 as an assistant and in 2004 earned my Real Estate License. Since then I have gone through my own buying and selling experience, became an entrepreneur in vario....

Latest Blog Posts

Tips for Single Homebuyers: How To Make Your Dream a Reality

Tips for Single Homebuyers: How To Make Your Dream a RealityIf you’re living on your own and looking to buy a home, know that you can make your dream a reality with thoughtful

Read More

How To Think Strategically as a Buyer in Today’s Market

How To Think Strategically as a Buyer in Today’s MarketThe game of chess can provide incredible lessons to apply to all aspects of life, including the homebuying process. Chess requires you to

Read More

Home Is Where the Heart Is More than Ever This Year

Home Is Where the Heart Is More than Ever This YearThere’s no denying the financial benefits of homeownership, but what’s often overlooked are the feelings of gratitude,

Read More

Why Now Is a Great Time To Sell Your House

Why Now Is a Great Time To Sell Your HouseAs we near the end of the year, more homeowners are realizing the benefits of today’s sellers’ market. Record-breaking home price

Read More